пятница, 17 октября 2025 г.

OpenAI’s Trillion Dollar Dream 💸

Every major tech player is racing to build data centres and compute.‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  ‌  
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Sector6 
Oct 17. 2025

The bi-weekly newsletter by AIM that brings the biggest shifts shaping IT, AI, and GCCs.

OpenAI's Trillion Dollar Dream 💸

Every major tech player is racing to build data centres and compute. OpenAI, however, is on a compute spree unlike anything the world has ever witnessed.

In just the past few months, the AI company has signed multi-billion-dollar deals with NVIDIA, AMD and Broadcom, securing over 26 gigawatts of AI compute capacity. 

by Mohit Pandey

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OpenAI-compute

OpenAI's financial commitments could top $1 trillion—a figure that is simply no laughing matter.

One partnership, in particular, stands out: Broadcom. OpenAI is preparing to develop in-house chips, aiming for 10 gigawatts of AI accelerators and networking systems. Broadcom CEO Hock Tan framed it as nothing short of a revolution in chip design. 

"GPT-5, 6, 7, and so on—each will require a different chip, a better chip, a more developed chip," Tan said. Broadcom is vying for 2-nanometer technology and exotic next-generation architectures, betting on a future powered entirely by AI-specific hardware.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman described the strategy as optimising the entire AI stack—from transistors and chips to racks, networking, inference algorithms and end products. He said that custom chips for specific workloads will deliver better performance, lower costs and faster model speeds. 

But this wasn't always this way. OpenAI president Greg Brockman recalled a time when the team believed AGI would emerge from clever ideas, not compute. That idealism fizzled by 2017, when reality struck: scale matters more than anything. Double the compute, double the model's capability.

 

Can OpenAI Actually Pull This Off? 

AS Rajgopal, CEO of NxtGen Cloud Technologies, flagged the operational risks. "The electrical industry is not geared up for this rapid expansion," he said. Data centre may not be completed in time. Moreover, recovering such massive investments may make services prohibitively expensive. 

Dylan Patel, founder of SemiAnalysis, is even more straightforward. He said that without sufficient compute, OpenAI cannot monetise AI models. The race is against trillion-dollar giants—Google, Meta, Microsoft and xAI. Slowing down isn't an option as falling behind in compute could cost OpenAI the lead.

OpenAI's financial lifeline now lies in partnerships that absorb financial risk and supply compute ahead of revenue. More than a contract, its $300 billion deal with Oracle is a bet on future profits. Oracle will earn a margin if AI succeeds, but could face debt if it doesn't.

 

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The Circular Compute Economy

This compute spree has created a circular economy. Money flows within the ecosystem rather than generating new revenue. NVIDIA funds are used to buy NVIDIA chips. AMD's six-gigawatt chip deal comes with an option to buy 10% of AMD's stock at a discount. 

OpenAI's purchases boost AMD's sales, lifting stock value and feeding back into OpenAI's chip budget. Oracle's data centre deal similarly cycles funds back to NVIDIA. Broadcom's custom chips remain in development, dependent on TSMC and external funding. 

But that is a story for another time. For now, OpenAI is assembling the world's most aggressive AI infrastructure. But the taller the tower of dream, the harder the fall—if even one piece fails to land.

 

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